Öz
@unfitted
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Yüksek Lisans
57 okur puanı
Temmuz 2020 tarihinde katıldı
A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or of any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed
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The explanatory stories that people find compelling are simple; are concrete rather than abstract; assign a larger role to talent, stupidity, and intentions than to luck; and focus on a few striking events that happened rather than on the countless events that failed to happen.
(...) an important principle of skill training: rewards for improved performance work better than punishment of mistakes.
There is one thing you can do when you have doubts about the quality of the evidence: let your judgements of probability stay close to the base rate. Don't expect this exercise of disclipline to be easy--it requires a significant effort of self monitoring and self control.
Availability, Emotion and Risk
The world in our heads is not a precise replica of reality; our expectations about the frequency of events are distorted by the prevalence and emotional intensity of the messages to which we are exposed.